Prediction Markets
Propose a marketHow prediction markets work Hide tips Show tips
Back your read on real-world events. In pool markets a winning stake comes back in full, plus its share of what the losing side staked, less a small rake taken from that losing side only (none on a market marked No house fee); in order-book markets each winning share pays 1.00.
Pick an outcome
Choose a market and the result you think will happen - for example YES or NO.
Back it with a stake
In a pool market you stake into your outcome's pot. In an order-book market you buy shares priced 0.01 to 0.99, where the price is the market-implied chance.
Get paid if you are right
When a pool market resolves, your own stake comes back in full and you share what the losing side staked, in proportion to what each winner put in. The rake is taken from the losing side only, never from a winner's own stake - and not at all on a market marked No house fee. In order-book markets every winning share pays 1.00.
How prediction markets work: the complete guide
Propose your own market and earn from its activity if it goes live.
