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Will the Democrats win at least 235 House seats and 51 Senate seats at the midterms?

The US midterm elections are held on 3 November 2026. Resolves Yes only if both of these hold once every 2026 race is decided: Democrats win 235 or more seats in the House of Representatives, and Democrats hold 51 or more Senate seats for the 120th Congress (independents who caucus with the Democrats count as Democrats; seats not up in 2026 count for the party holding them). Anything less on either count resolves No. Settled from the certified results published by the relevant state election officials, as compiled by the Associated Press race calls at https://apnews.com/hub/election-results, then from the official House and Senate membership lists when the new Congress is seated on 3 January 2027. Runoffs, recounts and court challenges are followed to their conclusion. If either count is still legally undetermined on 31 January 2027, the market is voided and every stake refunded.

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Closes 02 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC Resolves 15 Dec 2026, 18:00 UTC Verify resolution →

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  • YES 0 USD No stake yet
  • NO 0 USD No stake yet

Total pot: 0 USD · Rake: 5.0% - charged on the losing side only, and already included in the Pays figures.

Pays figures are the total returned per 1 staked, your stake included. They move with every stake and lock when betting closes.

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How this market pays

How this market pays. Every stake on the same outcome goes into that outcome's pot, and each currency is settled separately.

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Share of pot over time iHow each outcome's share of the staked pot has moved, in the pot currency shown on the board. A bigger share means more of the pot is on that side - and a smaller payout multiplier if it wins.

Pots by currency iEach currency is a separate pot, with its own odds, and it settles separately. You can join the pots your site offers, and we show the rest so you can see the whole market.

  • USD 0 pot No stake yet available here
  • LOL 0 pot No stake yet available here
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